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Cambridge Press Release – Taking on Tornadoes: Twitter and Dual-pol radar join forces

An article published in Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness has revealed that the combined use of Dual-Pol radar and Twitter has the potential to significantly improve outcomes in communities faced with tornadic activity.

[Click here to read the press release in a new window]

Taking on Tornadoes: Twitter and Dual-pol radar join forces
Taking on Tornadoes: Twitter and Dual-pol radar join forces

On February 10, 2013, at approximately 5:00 PM, an EF-4 tornado1 with sustained maximum winds of 170 mph struck Hattiesburg, Mississippi, a small city with a population of approximately 45 000 residents. The tornado traversed densely inhabited areas including residential homes, businesses, and a large state university, causing $40 million in damage and resulting in 50 reported injuries and no fatalities.

 

For the first time in the Hattiesburg area, new weather technologies, such as the dual-polarization radar2, combined with the social media entity Twitter were used in a concerted effort to mitigate morbidity and mortality. The article analyzed the combined use of these technologies in preventing injury and death during a violent storm.

 

Several notable organizations used Twitter during the tornadic events in February. These organizations included the NWS in Jackson, Mississippi (@NWSJacksonMS), the Weather Channel (@weatherchannel), the Sun Herald newspaper (@SunHerald), and WDAM News, Talk and Radio, a local organization (@WDAM).

 

Twitter users followed weather-related handles for up-to-the-minute information regarding current weather conditions in areas where they maintain community ties. While not always current, the information is disseminated to the public quickly, especially in the event of severe weather in an area that may experience loss of power and Internet service. In this instance, smart phones with high-speed networks, which are owned by more than half of all adults in the United States, may still be able to receive texts and tweets regarding the severe weather.

 

Twitter users and storm chasers used the terminology from the NWS warnings to inform the public about the severity of this tornado. Along with the strong wording in the tornado warnings issued, the Weather Channel used tweets to describe the specific direction of the tornado, as indicated by radar and storm spotters on the ground. Twitter users in the Hattiesburg community were alerted to the specific location of the tornado and were then able to judge the safety of their current location. The use of the phrase tornado emergency as part of the NWS alerts and tweets also likely raised the alert in communities. Tornado emergency is a phrase that was instated by the NWS in 2005 to alert highly populated areas of a tornado on the ground that is expected to continue to produce a high magnitude of damage along its path coupled with the high likelihood of numerous fatalities.

 

The danger associated with the tornadic storms in the Hattiesburg area was highlighted with the issued tornado emergency. This type of alert has only been issued a total of 13 times in Mississippi since 2005.These notifications were frequently tweeted by the NWS handles, and were subsequently retweeted. These transmissions enabled the communique to go viral, or to be transmitted exponentially. One of those tweets that mentioned the phrase tornado emergency was retweeted 19 times.

 

This study revealed that the combined use of Dual-Pol radar and Twitter has the potential to significantly improve outcomes in communities faced with tornadic activity.

 

The average warning time preceding a tornado is 13 minutes. With the use of Dual-Pol radar, the tornado warning time was 30 minutes in advance of the storm that occurred on February 10, 2013. The dramatic increase in warning time provided local citizens ample time to reach a safe location, and likely was a major factor in the absence of fatalities and critical injuries.

 

Italo Subbarao DO, MBA, one of the authors of the paper commented, “While we recognize that other forms of risk communication such as television, radio, and other social media outlets were used during the tornado, we believe that Twitter was the most efficiently designed method for communication, particularly with the ubiquitous use of smart phones. This method of risk communication was useful for the public, emergency management, and health care providers to identify the severity of the impending tornado.

 

“Given the scope of damage sustained, it is no small wonder that fatalities were avoided altogether. The advent of more accurate weather-sensing technologies coupled with the adoption of more recent social media communication channels such as Twitter may serve as an effective early warning system in regions routinely experiencing high frequency of tornadic activity and should be further explored.”

 

 

Notes

For further information, please contact Charlotte Porter

Email: cporter@cambridge.org

Telephone: +44(0)1223 347966

 

 

Impact of Dual-Polarization Radar Technology and Twitter on the Hattiesburg, Mississippi Tornado, Italo Subbarao et al. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/dmp.2013.113 is published online and in print in Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness.

 

 

1. Tornadoes are severe wind storms that are characterized by a violently rotating column of air that reaches the ground. Tornadoes are classified using the enhanced Fujita (EF) scale, which rates the intensity based on resultant structural damage. A rating of EF-0 is the weakest, with estimated wind speeds of 65 to 85 mph; and EF-5 is the strongest, with sustained winds exceeding 200 mph. During an average year, only 2% of tornadoes are categorized as violent, with ratings of EF-3 and above. Nearly 1000 tornadoes occur in the United States every year and account for an average of 87 fatalities and 1500 injuries.

 

Mississippi experiences an average of 2 EF-3 or stronger tornadoes per year, with an average of 3 tornadoes of any strength occurring in February.

 

 

2. In January, 2013, the NWS (National Weather Service) in Jackson, Mississippi, completed a $225 000 radar upgrade from the traditional Doppler radar to the new dual-polarization radar (Dual-Pol radar).

 

Dual-Pol radar provides a 2-dimensional picture of the precipitation using horizontal and vertical pulses. This image allows forecasters to clearly differentiate the type of precipitation in the air at different elevations and debris from a possible tornado (whereas Doppler radar gives a one-dimensional picture of whatever is in the air, precipitation or non-precipitation and can’t tell the difference between rain, snow, or hail). This technology is especially helpful at night when ground visibility is limited.

 

 

About the authors

 

Alexis L. Catesa1, Brent W. Arnolda1, Guy Paul Cooper Jra1, Violet Yeagera1, Josh Stakea1, Mohammed Alia1, Richard C. Calderonea1, James Wilkinsona1, Edbert Hsua2, Steven Parrilloa3, Steven Pipera1 and Italo Subbaraoa1

a1 William Carey University College of Osteopathic Medicine, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

a2 Johns Hopkins University, Department of Emergency Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland

a3 Albert Einstein Healthcare Network, Department of Emergency Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

 

 

About SDMPH

 

Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness is published on behalf of the Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc.

 

The SDMPH serves as a community of individuals dedicated to formalized, life-long learning in disaster medicine and public health with a shared vision to ensure all potential health system responders are ready, willing and able to meet the health security needs of individuals, communities and countries affected by disasters and public health emergencies.

 

For further information about SDMPH, go to: http://sdmph.org/

 

 

About Cambridge Journals

 

Cambridge University Press publishes over 330 peer-reviewed academic journals across a wide spread of subject areas, in print and online. Many of these journals are the leading academic publications in their fields and together they form one of the most valuable and comprehensive bodies of research available today.

 

For further information about Cambridge Journals, go to http://journals.cambridge.org

 

 

About Cambridge University Press

 

Cambridge University Press is part of the University of Cambridge. It furthers the University’s mission by disseminating knowledge in the pursuit of education, learning and research at the highest international levels of excellence.

 

Its extensive peer-reviewed publishing lists comprise 45,000 titles covering academic research, professional development, over 330 research journals, school-level education, English language teaching and bible publishing.

 

Playing a leading role in today’s international market place, Cambridge University Press has over 50 offices around the globe, and it distributes its products to nearly every country in the world.

 

For further information, go to: www.cambridge.org

 

 

Tornadoes and Severe Thunderstorms Kill at Least 8 in the Midwest

Midwest Tornadoes. Photo courtesy of cnn.com.
Victims of Midwest Tornadoes look through rubble for medical supplies. Photo courtesy of cnn.com.
Tornadoes slam the Midwest, leaving 8 dead and entire blocks of homes destroyed and hundreds of thousands of more homes and businesses without power. One central Illinois community appeared particularly hard-hit.

“Literally, neighborhoods are completely wiped out,” Rep. Aaron Schock, R-Ill., told Fox News. “I’m looking at subdivisions of twenty to thirty homes and there’s not a home there.”

Reports have been made that victims of the tornado have been digging through the rubble to find medical supplies for those in need. Other reports say that firefighters are going house to house to look for people who may be trapped.

Read more about this event here (outside link).

 

 

In the wake of the highly devastating Typhoon Haiyan, the Philippines faces severe medical resource shortages

Typhoon Haiyan. Photo courtesy of cnn.com
Typhoon Haiyan. Photo courtesy of cnn.com

Initial news reports indicate that Typhoon Haiyan, with the highest sustained typhoon winds ever recorded, has left an estimated 10,000 people dead in just one area of the Philippines, whose city of Tacloban on the island of Leyte was devastated.

Philippine Interior Secretary, Mar Roxas, flew over the area in a helicopter to assess the damage and told reporters, “I don’t know how to describe what I saw. It’s horrific.”

CNN reported that as of this morning, dead bodies still lay on the side of the road; some bodies were covered by tarpaulins and sheets, others remain where they had fallen. Only one hospital in Tacloban is functional, and victims that made it to the facility faced dire circumstances. Some injured lay in the hospital’s cramped hallways, seeking treatment.

“We haven’t anything left to help people with,” one doctor said. “We have to get supplies in immediately.”

Read more about this event here (outside link).